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CITIC Securities' Outlook for OpenAI Release: The commercialization of AI will accelerate again. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, according to its official website, OpenAI announced that it will announce new products and functions for 12 consecutive working days from December 5th. At present, the official version of o1, ChatGPT Pro, enhanced fine-tuning and other functions have been released. We expect that the main directions of subsequent release will include multimodal, Agent and platform tools, AI applications, etc. The main products will include the foresight of important products such as Sora and Operator. At present, the rapid prosperity of model ecology, considering the upgrading of model capabilities and the lowering of industrialization threshold, combined with the application landing forms such as Agent, we expect that the landing of AI applications will continue to accelerate in 2025.Many countries condemned Israel's control of the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone in the Golan Heights, and Israeli troops invaded the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone in the Golan Heights on the 8th. On the 9th, Israeli Defense Minister Katz ordered the Israeli army to fully control the buffer zone between Israel and Syria. The Israeli army's actions have been strongly condemned by Qatar, Iraq and other governments. On the 9th, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Qatar issued a statement strongly condemning the control of the Syrian post in the Golan Heights by the Israel Defense Forces. On the same day, the Iraqi Foreign Ministry issued a statement condemning Israel's control of the military buffer zone and the nearby land between it and Syria, and stressed that this act was a flagrant violation of international law and relevant resolutions of international legitimacy. In addition, the foreign ministries of Egypt and Jordan also issued statements on the same day, strongly condemning Israel's aggression, saying that it violated international law. The statement also called on the UN Security Council to take a firm stand against Israel's occupation.Six Guatemalans were arrested on suspicion of an immigrant truck accident. On December 9, local time, the United States and Guatemala jointly announced that six Guatemalans were arrested. They are suspected of human smuggling and involved in the accident that the vehicle carrying immigrants overturned in Mexico in 2021. The suspect will be charged with conspiracy, endangering life, causing serious personal injury and causing death. In 2021, a truck carrying more than 160 immigrants crashed into a bridge pillar of an overpass in Tustra Gutierrez, the capital of Chiapas in southern Mexico, killing more than 50 people.

South Korea's Ministry of Finance: Considering the economic fundamentals, South Korea's exchange rate fluctuates too much.CITIC Securities: Short-term home fundamentals are expected to usher in a window of policy improvement, and we can bargain and seize the opportunity of valuation repair. CITIC Securities recently reported that the situation in the light industry has been severe since 2024, but it still presents three bright spots: channel reconstruction of the personal care industry, internationalization of the tobacco industry and asset integration of the metal packaging industry. The above-mentioned opportunities for subdividing the track are expected to continue and be further strengthened in 2025. Short-term home fundamentals are expected to usher in a policy improvement window, which can be laid out on dips, seize the opportunity of valuation repair, pay attention to industry demand and policy continuity, and attach importance to reasonable valuation intervals. In 2025, the papermaking and paper packaging industries will benefit from the recovery of consumption.Debon Securities: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in the fields of liquor, beer and leisure snacks. Debon Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: The dealer conference will set the tone for next year, giving priority to the opportunities of low-value leading layout. Recently, wine companies have intensively held dealer meetings to set the tone for next year's growth. At present, wine enterprises are generally rational and pragmatic, and reasonable speed reduction reduces the burden on channels. With a series of economic policies, the consumption of enterprises and residents is expected to pick up in 2025. The competitiveness of head enterprises has been further enhanced through continuous evolution, so it is suggested to grasp the investment opportunities with low expectations at present. 2) Beer: The overall performance of the third quarterly report is under pressure due to the weak recovery of demand and weather, but it is expected that the ton price of major beer enterprises will maintain a steady and rising trend throughout the year. With the introduction of a series of policies to stimulate consumption, terminal demand is expected to improve, and the recovery of ready-to-drink scenes such as catering is expected to promote the upgrading and continuation of beer structure. 3) Leisure snacks: The performance of leisure snack enterprises is further differentiated, and the performance of high-potential targets is optimistic in the peak season. In the third quarter, the performance of leisure and snack enterprises was divided, and the growth toughness of high-potential enterprises remained the same. The follow-up Spring Festival peak season is expected to bring the possibility of exceeding expectations. At present, the level of income profit rate of head enterprises is expected to remain stable.

Wuliangye Group signed a memorandum of cooperation with Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile, and on December 5th, Wuliangye Group signed a memorandum of cooperation with Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile. Chile Gan Lu Wine Group is the largest wine production group in South America, with its brand footprints in Chile, Argentina and the United States, and its sales covering 147 countries and regions around the world. This signing indicates that Wuliangye and Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile have further established a long-term and stable partnership.CICC: The non-agricultural data in November supported the Fed to continue to cut interest rates. The CICC research report pointed out that after being seriously hindered by hurricanes and strikes, the number of new jobs in the United States rose sharply to 227,000 in November, but the unemployment rate also rose to 4.2%, indicating that the labor market is slowing down. On the whole, the labor market is still in a state of "the momentum of employment growth is weakening, but the job market itself is not weak", which will provide reasons for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in December. However, we also predict that the Fed will slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, because as interest rates approach the neutral level, policymakers will become more cautious. One prediction risk is the impact of Trump's immigration policy on the labor market. At present, we tend to have a moderate impact, but we also need to pay close attention to the possibility of extreme situations. Based on non-agricultural data, we believe that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points again this month.Many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea. "Is it safe to travel to South Korea?" On the 9th, travelnoire, a platform focusing on African tourists, raised such a question. According to the report, the recent political events in South Korea have cast a shadow over this popular tourist destination. In fact, as the emergency martial law storm in South Korea continues to ferment, many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea. South Korea's "Asian Economy" reported on the 9th that the political and social uncertainty in South Korea has further intensified, and the inbound tourism market in South Korea, which has just resumed after the epidemic, is once again facing severe challenges. South Korea's New Zealand News Agency reported that due to the increasing political uncertainty in South Korea, many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea.